Founder of Sonderberg Research · Florida, USA
I help business owners and executives investing six to seven figures sell major tops and buy major bottoms, without sitting on charts all day. I'm Diego Sonderberg, and in this industry you shouldn't trust anyone. Not the gurus, not the influencers, not me. Check the record instead.
See how Sonderberg Research works→
Proof at a Glance
Six moments, all made publicly before the move. The full ledger with original posts is below.
Sixty seconds of how I actually read a market. The same analysis behind every entry in the ledger below.
Sound Familiar?
You don't have 10 hours a week for charts, 20 indicators, or crypto Twitter. So you invest reactively: buying strength, holding through drawdowns, round-tripping profits you already had.
The last correction didn't just cost you six figures. It cost you sleep, focus, and presence with your family.
Not because you're not smart. You built a company. But nobody ever installed a real system for your capital.
That's exactly what I do.
Who I Work With
I work exclusively with a small number of founders and business owners investing six to seven figures across crypto, equities and cash. They have already built the wealth. My job is to put a system around it. Through Sonderberg Research, we use a structured framework built around macro, market structure and sentiment to help identify when risk is rising, when capital should be deployed, and when major market conditions are changing. The goal is simple: make the few major portfolio decisions that matter each cycle without turning investing into a second full-time job.
See how Sonderberg Research worksThe Story
Why one industry insider decided the crypto space needed a voice with receipts.
The short version: many years inside the Swiss Stock Exchange, early advisor and investor on both sides of traditional finance and crypto, builder of one of the German-speaking world's leading trading networks, and today the founder of Sonderberg Research in Florida, USA, working 1:1 with six- and seven-figure investors. Here is how it happened, step by step.
I was born and raised in Zurich, Switzerland. My father was a stockbroker, I placed my first trades at 18, and I spent years working professionally at the Swiss Stock Exchange, seeing how markets actually function beneath the price chart.
From 2020 through 2025 I advised and invested in several ICOs based out of Switzerland and Liechtenstein, one of which was later valued at $600 million in an official PwC valuation (source). I advised that company from day one that its crypto integration would ultimately hurt it, and I was right. It left crypto behind, rebuilt as an EdTech and AI software company, and today serves governments, institutions, and millions of learners worldwide (legacynetwork.io).
Inside the industry I learned what most investors learn the expensive way: most so-called experts simply got lucky. They make money from clicks, affiliate fees, and the trading volume they generate, not from being right. That became my mission: to be a trusted voice with a clear, provable, timestamped track record. Calls made in public, before the move.
What changed everything was learning directly from institutional investors managing serious capital, at the time directly from a nine-figure investor from Southeast Asia: strip away emotion, follow the facts, and understand that while perfect timing is impossible, getting remarkably close is not. A Germany-based macro investor deepened the macro side. Over the years I built those lessons into my own system: an institutional-grade framework combining macro, technicals, and sentiment, the same one I show openly in my YouTube videos.
In 2022 I co-founded a trading and investing education platform for the German-speaking market (originally UpCrypto Trading), publishing daily crypto market analysis for hundreds of members. In 2024 we expanded internationally with an English membership. In 2025 I bought out my co-founder, a successful Swiss crypto investor, and rebranded the company as Velaris Trading, growing it into a leading trading network with six full-time traders and analysts working 1:1 with members.
Alongside this, I served as an advisor and investor in EB1, a premium invite-only charge card (Visa and Rain partnerships) that turns stablecoin wealth into instant global Visa spending with 24/7 concierge service.
By mid-2025, the people seeking me out had changed. More founders, business owners and executives with six- and seven-figure portfolios were coming to me directly for help making sense of major market cycles, portfolio risk and when to deploy or reduce capital. I also began working with wealth management firms on crypto and cycle research. That summer, I launched my YouTube channel with the same audience in mind: successful people managing serious capital who did not have the time, or desire, to become full-time market analysts.
What I kept seeing was the same problem. These were highly successful operators who had systems for their businesses, teams and finances, but no real system around their investments. They were reacting to markets, holding through major drawdowns, round-tripping profits and spending far too much time trying to decide what to do next. The problem was not intelligence. Their portfolios simply lacked the same structure they applied everywhere else in their lives.
So at the end of 2025, I made a deliberate shift. I stopped serving hundreds of traders through a membership model and began working exclusively with a smaller number of founders, business owners and executives investing six and seven figures. I traded scale for depth. That became Sonderberg Research, built around a simple idea: serious capital deserves a real operating system. Today, the work combines market research, portfolio decision infrastructure and direct 1:1 guidance to help clients make the few major decisions that matter each cycle without turning investing into a second full-time job.
What that looks like in practice: I work 1:1 with every client, directly. Each client gets a personalized dashboard running my sophisticated institutional system: buy/sell calls across every asset class, a daily risk metric, the exact read we're making. All of it checkable in under 5 minutes, whenever you want.
And not just that. Weekly briefings across macro, crypto, and equities. Every move I make, posted in real time, before it plays out, not after. And 1:1 access to me, for anything that matters.
Your total time commitment: a dashboard you can check in under 5 minutes, and about 30 minutes a week acting on clear signals. That's it.
See if the system fits your portfolio.
Apply for Strategy Call or watch how the system works first →The Track Record
Every call below was made publicly, before the move, with a timestamp. Original screenshots and live links included. Judge for yourself.
Bought Bitcoin and a basket of altcoins at the deep-red 2023 bottom, when sentiment was at maximum fear. Several of those positions, and members' positions, went on to return 10x or more. (Example: SOL, entered 2023, up nearly 1,000% by November 2024; see the next entry.)
Publicly announced partial profit-taking on SOL, almost 1,000% in profit since our investment in 2023
, plus profit-taking across FLOKI, SHIBA, and TON. It came within days of the peak for most altcoins.
While markets hovered near highs and crypto influencers stayed euphoric, publicly warned members of a potential top and kept systematically taking large profits, on crypto and equities alike, a campaign running since November. February 15: We're seeing classic top signals that have been ignored in past cycles… I'd rather stay cautious and take profits, just as I have been since November.
Ten days later, with prices already falling, on February 25: By January, we became even more cautious and I warned about a potential top… Meanwhile, crypto "gurus" remained overly bullish, ignoring clear macro risks. Now we see the result.
Publicly flagged $OM up over 10x since the March 2024 entry and told members: Certainly not a bad time to take profits.
Weeks later, OM collapsed roughly 90% in a single day. Members who followed the call kept a 10x. Those who didn't lost nearly everything.
Weeks before the crash, publicly told members to be prepared for price levels between roughly $1,500 and $1,100
on ETH: that zone could offer a fantastic accumulation opportunity.
The weekend before April 7, warned of the incoming correction, flagged by the institutional three-flag system. Then, on April 7, the day of the crash low, executed publicly, in real time:
3:16 AM: ETH is in our accumulation zone, at 1,400
. Began DCA buying.
3:24 AM: I'm buying SOL at 98 here and TAO at 177.
5:42 AM: SPX Futures have reached our key zone around 4900 today, a level we've been discussing for weeks… the deeper the market falls, the greater the opportunity for long-term positions.
April 8: All of our signals were triggered on Monday, and as shared, I made my buys accordingly.
Crypto and equities, called to the level, bought at the bottom. All timestamped.
Called the cycle top months in advance, on video, while the market was still euphoric.
Began selling altcoins in August. On September 11, laid out the full logic publicly on X: the Altcoin Season Index flashing green has marked the top at every cycle high, and it just flashed again. The playbook: Rotate from alts into Bitcoin and cash. I already did that weeks ago… Do not roundtrip your gains chasing the last 10–20% when you already sit on 500%.
Posted publicly on X: I am shorting Bitcoin here
, with the chart, in the $117K–$124K distribution zone, building an average short entry around $120K, within days of the all-time high. The same call was laid out on video, months in advance and in the follow-through analysis after. By October, publicly out of crypto entirely.
With Bitcoin still near $90K and most of the industry calling for new highs, posted publicly: Bitcoin at 50K–60K in 2026
and Bitcoin is going for 60K
, and published the full video thesis: Bitcoin ultimately drops into the $50,000–$60,000 range or lower in 2026.
WHAT HAPPENED: BY MID-2026, BITCOIN WAS TRADING IN THE LOW $60,000s.
On December 5, 2025, published the full cycle roadmap on YouTube, projecting Bitcoin to fall into the $50K–$60K range and potentially bottom around the 200-week moving average. The roadmap was: break below the 50-week moving average → bearish retest → move toward the 200WMA or deeper → cyclical low in the $50,000-$60,000 range. The original timing projection pointed toward October 2026. One month later, I publicly warned that the bottom could easily be front-run, if my idea is widely accepted, meaning the final low could arrive months earlier, including during the summer. Along the way, publicly traded the counter-trend structure: riding rallies like $84K→$97K and shorting back down through moves such as $97K→$60K and $81K→$58K, while giving members "last exit" levels before major legs lower.
Posted publicly: Shorted BTC at ~120K. BTC is down 45% since I called the cycle top. BTC can easily go down another 50% from here. Bearish until I see clear bottom signs.
A week after warning on YouTube, Do not be mistaken by the recent pump and the coming one… There will even be slight euphoria in the markets
, Bitcoin did exactly that. Posted publicly that Bitcoin would push slightly higher before stage 5 of the bear market, and that Sonderberg Research was already positioned in its short setup. The position has since been partially closed in profit as the move played out; the remainder rides toward the projected cyclical low.
On July 1, I opened a Bitcoin long at $58,500. Through July and August, we began accumulating Bitcoin around the $60K area, while Sonderberg Research clients were alerted to the opportunity. I also began buying selected crypto-related stocks during the same bottoming window.
At the same time, I repeatedly warned publicly not to overthink the exact bottom. My original roadmap had pointed toward a later bottom around September or October, and my later base case had moved below $45K. But I had also warned months earlier that if too many investors began waiting for the same October low, the market could front-run the move and bottom during the summer instead.
As the evidence changed, so did my positioning. Rather than wait for one perfect number, I began building exposure around $60K and publicly said that the bottom could already be in. The later sub-$45K scenario is now invalidated. That is the point of the framework: follow the evidence, not defend an old prediction.
This ledger is updated as calls resolve, wins and misses alike. That's the point.
What Clients Say
Real client messages. Unedited, redacted only for privacy.
"Diego is a master at seeing the big picture."
Private client · USA
"Now I avoid taking losses."
Private client · Switzerland
"One of the best decisions I've made in my investing journey."
Rob K. · Private client
"It's honestly insane what you've been putting out over the last few years."
Leo · Private client · USA
"Thank you for your relentless effort."
Stefan · Private client
Work With Me
If you're a founder or business owner investing six to seven figures and you want a clearer system for when to deploy capital, reduce risk and take profits, without spending your week watching markets, let's talk. Your business already runs on a system. Your portfolio should too.
Apply for Strategy Call Prefer to watch first? See how the system works →On this call, we'll cover three things: (1) what your current timing is actually costing you per cycle, (2) the institutional signals your portfolio is currently blind to, and (3) whether the system fits your situation, a straight yes or no. No pitch marathon. 45 minutes.
For business owners and executives investing $100K or more
FAQ
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